Trade: H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $24K
- Total Volume
- $166K
- 24h Volume
- $300
- Open Interest
- $56K
Market outcomes
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | 9% YES | 91% NO |
Market context
H.R. 22, formally titled the Safeguard America's Values and Economics (SAVE) Act, proposes significant restrictions on foreign investment in U.S. agricultural land and critical infrastructure sectors. The bill would require Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) review for agricultural acquisitions and impose ownership limits on foreign entities. For the legislation to become law by 31 December 2026, it must pass both the House and Senate and receive presidential signature within the current 119th Congress window, which concludes in January 2027.
The 10% implied probability reflects the substantial procedural and political hurdles facing agricultural restriction bills historically. Similar foreign investment screening measures have faced extended committee deliberation and competing priorities in recent Congresses. The Senate's agricultural committee has traditionally moved cautiously on land-ownership restrictions due to farm-state concerns about reciprocal trade impacts and market access. Comparable bills addressing foreign land purchases have averaged 18–24 months in committee before floor consideration, suggesting limited runway within the settlement window.
Traders should monitor House Agriculture Committee scheduling and any companion Senate legislation introduced before mid-2026. Recent statements from the Biden administration on foreign investment policy and any shifts in Senate Republican leadership priorities around agricultural protectionism could accelerate or impede progress. The bill's fate also depends on whether it gains attachment to broader trade or appropriations measures, which would represent the primary pathway to floor votes before year-end. Current Polymarket order-book pricing reflects scepticism about legislative velocity and competing priorities consuming floor time.
Wikipedia Context
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21 SavageShéyaa Bin Abraham-Joseph, known professionally as 21 Savage, is a British-born rapper based in Atlanta, Georgia. Born in London and raised in the US, he began his recording career in 2013 and released three independent mixtapes to regional acclaim. His breakout project—the collaborative extended play (EP) with record producer Metro Boomin titled Savage Mode
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22 settembre"22 settembre" is a song by Italian singer-songwriter Ultimo. It was released on 22 September 2020 by Ultimo Records as the second single from the fourth studio album Solo.
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21 Savage discography
The discography of 21 Savage, a British-American rapper, consists of four studio albums, three collaborative albums, three mixtapes, three extended plays, and 33 singles. His first collaborative extended play with Metro Boomin, Savage Mode (2016), had reached at number 23 on the Billboard 200, marking his first project to chart. It also produced the Billboar
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22 Camelopardalis
22 Camelopardalis is a binary star system in the northern circumpolar constellation of Camelopardalis, located 212 light years away from the Sun. It has an apparent visual magnitude of 7.03, which is below the normal limit for visibility with the naked eye. This object is moving further from the Earth with a mean heliocentric radial velocity of +10 km/s. Egg
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?" are the same as any other PolyGram political event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 9% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $1111 if YES resolves true — a 1011% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$166K in lifetime turnover and $24K of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for politics contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $300 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 3 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
What is the current probability for "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?"?
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 9%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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