Trending Markets — Social Signals in Real Time

Track which prediction markets are gaining attention on X (Twitter), Reddit, and Telegram in real time. Social-signal volume is a leading indicator for order-flow surges and price moves; spotting it early can mean entering a market before the herd.

How the social-signal feed works

PolyGram ingests anonymised mention counts from public X timelines, Reddit subreddits relevant to each category, and public Telegram channels. We weight each mention by recency, reach (followers / subscribers), and engagement (likes, replies, reposts) to produce a normalised "mention score" per market. The score is recalculated every 60 seconds and is independent of trading volume — so newly-launched markets with high social interest but low book depth still surface near the top.

What to look for

• Mention spikes: a 10x or larger jump in mention volume within a 15-minute window often precedes order-flow imbalances by 30-90 minutes.
• Cross-platform agreement: a market trending on both X and Reddit (or both X and Telegram) is a stronger signal than a single-platform spike, which is often bot-driven.
• News-driven mentions: verified-account mentions linked to a breaking news story carry more predictive weight than anonymous account chatter.
• Sentiment vs price divergence: when sentiment is heavily YES-leaning but the market price has not yet moved, there is often a window to enter at a favourable price.

Categories covered

Mention tracking covers all PolyGram event categories: politics, crypto, sports, business, world, pop culture, tech, geopolitics, esports, and elections. Coverage is global — non-English mentions are translated and counted using language-detection heuristics so that a German-language Bundesliga match story counts toward the matching sports market.

Privacy & data sources

We only ingest publicly accessible posts. We do not track individual users, attribute mentions to identities, or collect any private data. Mention counts are aggregated and anonymised before storage. The full privacy policy is at /privacy.

Using the feed responsibly

Social signals are noisy. A spike in mentions does not guarantee a price move; it raises the probability conditional on other factors (book depth, time to resolution, news flow). Combine the mention feed with on-chain order-book depth, historical price action, and your own research. Never trade on a single signal alone, and never trade with money you can't afford to lose — see /responsible-trading.