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Trending prediction markets — where the smart money is this week

The most-traded markets on PolyGram across the last seven days. Trending surfaces the questions that are accumulating sustained volume — not just one-day spikes, but the markets traders keep coming back to.

Trending is the seven-day version of /breaking. Rather than reacting to a single 24-hour spike, it ranks markets by aggregate volume across a full trading week — surfacing the questions that have sustained traders' attention, not just yesterday's one-news-cycle flash points. A market that holds a top-ten position on /trending for multiple days is, by definition, where the crowd's conviction is building. These are the markets where institutional and high-volume retail traders concentrate their capital, and they offer the deepest liquidity on the platform.

The behaviour of /trending markets differs structurally from /breaking. Breaking markets reprice violently on single news events, often by 20+ percentage points in an hour. Trending markets tend to reprice incrementally as new information accumulates — a polling shift here, a quarterly earnings beat there, a hash-rate trend confirming the consensus narrative. The trade setup is also different: instead of fast-reaction catalyst trading, trending markets reward thesis-driven traders who can sit on a position for days or weeks while the price grinds toward fair value. The portfolio analytics dashboard tracks the Sharpe and Sortino ratios of these slower trades, so you can compare your style to other top performers.

Coverage on /trending tilts toward the largest markets on the platform. The 2028 US presidential race typically anchors the top of the list for months at a time. Bitcoin price-target markets for year-end and major altcoin upgrade markets recur. The FIFA World Cup Winner market grows in trending rank as the tournament approaches and explodes in the final months. Major Fed decision markets and earnings markets for the most-watched stocks (Nvidia, Tesla, Apple) appear on Fed days and earnings weeks. Pop culture phenomena — Eurovision, the Academy Awards, major reality TV finales — spike trending status in the run-up to their resolution dates.

The depth of liquidity on /trending markets makes them the preferred venue for large positions. Spreads on the top trending markets typically run under 30 basis points on multi-thousand-dollar orders, which is competitive with the deepest derivatives markets on traditional exchanges. Traders with $10,000+ position sizes consistently route through the trending list rather than the long tail of less liquid markets, because the slippage and execution risk are dramatically lower. The full market directory includes the long tail for traders who specialise in micro-cap markets, but for sized capital, /trending is the right starting point.

To use /trending effectively, pair the list with the leaderboard. The top traders by P&L over rolling 30-day windows tend to concentrate their book in trending markets — both because the liquidity supports their position size and because the information edge is real (a thesis-driven trade with seven days of accumulating evidence is more reliable than a catalyst trade based on a single tweet). Following these traders, either manually or via copy trading, is one of the highest-EV strategies available on the platform.

Top Markets

Frequently asked questions

What window does trending cover?

Trending ranks by aggregate volume across the last seven days. It rewards markets that have sustained activity rather than one-day breakouts — the difference between a steady accumulation thesis and a single-catalyst trade.

Are trending markets more liquid than breaking?

Yes — trending markets tend to be the deepest on the platform, with spreads under 30bps even on multi-thousand-dollar orders. They are the preferred venue for larger position sizes.

How do top traders use trending?

Top traders concentrate large positions in trending markets because liquidity supports the size and the seven-day volume window confirms a real thesis rather than a noise trade. Pair /trending with the leaderboard to see who is most active in each market.