Resolution criteria on PolyGram: On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156 This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Ted Cruz | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Marco Rubio | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Rand Paul | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Gwendolyn Beck | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Placeholder G | — | |
| Placeholder I | — | |
| Placeholder N | — | |
| Donald Trump | 1% YES | 99% NO |
On 12 February 2026, US Representative Ro Khanna released a document containing an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, requesting that the sender's identity be unredacted from public records. The market seeks confirmation of which individual sent this message by year-end 2026. Current order book activity on Polymarket implies a 0% probability of resolution to a named individual, reflecting either genuine uncertainty about whether identification will occur within the timeframe or market participants' assessment that public disclosure remains unlikely despite the congressional attention.
Historical precedent suggests caution about rapid identification timelines in Epstein-related document releases. Previous tranches of sealed materials have faced legal challenges, redaction disputes, and extended administrative processes. The 2024 unsealing of the Epstein client list took months to navigate through court procedures, and even then, some identities remained contested or legally protected. This context explains the market's current pricing, as formal confirmation of email authorship requires either voluntary disclosure, court-ordered unredaction, or investigative journalism establishing verifiable proof—none of which operate on compressed schedules.
Key catalysts include potential congressional pressure for further document releases, any Freedom of Information Act requests filed specifically targeting this email, and investigative reporting by major outlets. The settlement window extends through 31 December 2026, providing roughly eleven months for developments. Traders should monitor statements from Khanna's office, Department of Justice positions on further unsealing, and whether the email gains traction in mainstream reporting—currently it remains relatively obscure outside specialist circles tracking Epstein-related disclosures.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading ""I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?" are the same as any other PolyGram political event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$13K in lifetime turnover and $16K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for politics contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 3 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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