Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between MVK Esports and Ground Zero Gaming in the Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against Ground Zero Gaming. This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win the match against MVK Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 42% YES | 58% NO |
| Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5) | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 26% YES | 75% NO |
MVK Esports face Ground Zero Gaming in the lower bracket round one of the Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three League of Legends match scheduled for 12 May at 05:00 ET. The winner advances in the qualifier bracket competing for a spot in the broader Esports World Cup tournament structure. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 72% implied probability favouring MVK, suggesting market participants assess them as the stronger side in this matchup.
Historical performance data from regional qualifiers indicates that seeding and prior tournament results heavily influence lower bracket outcomes, though upsets remain common when teams face unfamiliar opponents or experience roster changes. Ground Zero Gaming's recent form and head-to-head record against MVK will be material factors; teams entering lower bracket play from earlier eliminations often carry momentum shifts that standard ranking systems underestimate. The 72% probability suggests the market views MVK as clear favourites, though not overwhelmingly so.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements regarding any schedule changes, player availability issues, or technical delays that could affect the 7-day resolution window. Patch updates to League of Legends released before the match date may also shift competitive balance if they significantly alter champion viability. Confirmation of final rosters and any last-minute substitutions should be tracked through official esports channels and team social media, as these frequently influence match outcomes in qualifier tournaments where preparation time may be limited.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://gol.gg/esports/home. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: MVK Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $82K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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