Trade: LoL: MVK Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between MVK Esports and Ground Zero Gaming in the Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against Ground Zero Gaming. This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win the match against MVK Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $58K
- Total Volume
- $302
- 24h Volume
- $251
- Open Interest
- $276
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 65% YES | 35% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 65% YES | 35% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5) | 48% YES | 54% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% YES | 73% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 27% YES | 73% NO |
Market context
MVK Esports face Ground Zero Gaming in the lower bracket round one of the Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three League of Legends match scheduled for 12 May at 05:00 ET. The winner advances in the qualifier bracket competing for a spot in the broader Esports World Cup tournament structure. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 72% implied probability favouring MVK, suggesting market participants assess them as the stronger side in this matchup.
Historical performance data from regional qualifiers indicates that seeding and prior tournament results heavily influence lower bracket outcomes, though upsets remain common when teams face unfamiliar opponents or experience roster changes. Ground Zero Gaming's recent form and head-to-head record against MVK will be material factors; teams entering lower bracket play from earlier eliminations often carry momentum shifts that standard ranking systems underestimate. The 72% probability suggests the market views MVK as clear favourites, though not overwhelmingly so.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements regarding any schedule changes, player availability issues, or technical delays that could affect the 7-day resolution window. Patch updates to League of Legends released before the match date may also shift competitive balance if they significantly alter champion viability. Confirmation of final rosters and any last-minute substitutions should be tracked through official esports channels and team social media, as these frequently influence match outcomes in qualifier tournaments where preparation time may be limited.
Wikipedia Context
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Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://gol.gg/esports/home. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LoL: MVK Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$302 in lifetime turnover and $58K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $251 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LoL: MVK Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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