Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs. If the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| KT Rolster | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Nongshim RedForce | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| T1 | 20% YES | 81% NO |
| Team D | — | |
| Team F | — | |
| Team K | — | |
| Team P | — | |
| Team S | — | |
The LCK 2026 season will conclude with playoffs determining a single champion, with the winner crowned by 31 December 2026. This market currently trades at 5% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting substantial uncertainty around which organisation will claim the title. The settlement window is tight, requiring the champion to be officially declared before the year closes; any postponement beyond 11:59 PM ET on 31 December triggers an "Other" resolution.
Historically, the LCK has maintained consistent scheduling, with playoffs typically concluding in November or early December. The league's three dominant organisations—T1, DRX, and Gen.G—have won every championship since 2017, establishing a pattern that shapes baseline expectations. The current 5% probability suggests the market is pricing in either significant roster upheaval, unexpected competitive shifts, or elevated uncertainty around the 2026 competitive landscape relative to established precedent.
Key catalysts for traders include the 2026 LCK roster announcements (typically November 2025), which will signal team strength and favourites. The regular season format and standings will emerge through spring and summer play, directly influencing playoff seeding. Any schedule delays, format changes, or organisational departures warrant monitoring via lolesports.com and official Riot announcements. The tight settlement deadline means any playoff postponement into 2027 would force resolution to "Other," creating tail risk independent of actual competitive performance.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "LCK 2026 Season Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3.3M in lifetime turnover and $75K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for lol contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 6 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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