Trade: LCK 2026 Season Winner
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs. If the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $77K
- Total Volume
- $3.3M
- 24h Volume
- $1K
- Open Interest
- $36K
Market outcomes
| KT Rolster | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Nongshim RedForce | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| T1 | 20% YES | 81% NO |
| Team D | — | |
| Team F | — | |
| Team K | — | |
| Team P | — | |
| Team S | — | |
Market context
The LCK 2026 season will conclude with playoffs determining a single champion, with the winner crowned by 31 December 2026. This market currently trades at 5% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting substantial uncertainty around which organisation will claim the title. The settlement window is tight, requiring the champion to be officially declared before the year closes; any postponement beyond 11:59 PM ET on 31 December triggers an "Other" resolution.
Historically, the LCK has maintained consistent scheduling, with playoffs typically concluding in November or early December. The league's three dominant organisations—T1, DRX, and Gen.G—have won every championship since 2017, establishing a pattern that shapes baseline expectations. The current 5% probability suggests the market is pricing in either significant roster upheaval, unexpected competitive shifts, or elevated uncertainty around the 2026 competitive landscape relative to established precedent.
Key catalysts for traders include the 2026 LCK roster announcements (typically November 2025), which will signal team strength and favourites. The regular season format and standings will emerge through spring and summer play, directly influencing playoff seeding. Any schedule delays, format changes, or organisational departures warrant monitoring via lolesports.com and official Riot announcements. The tight settlement deadline means any playoff postponement into 2027 would force resolution to "Other," creating tail risk independent of actual competitive performance.
Wikipedia Context
-
Luck (2022 film)Luck is a 2022 American animated fantasy comedy film directed by Peggy Holmes from a screenplay written by Kiel Murray, and a story conceived by Murray and the writing team of Jonathan Aibel and Glenn Berger, based on an original concept created by Rebeca Carrasco, Juan De Dios, and Julián Romero. Produced by Skydance Animation, the film features the voices
-
Lucky (2026 TV series)
Lucky is an upcoming American crime thriller television miniseries created by Jonathan Tropper for Apple TV. It stars Anya Taylor-Joy, Annette Bening, Timothy Olyphant, and Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor with Reese Witherspoon and Cassie Pappas among the producers. The series is based on Marissa Stapley's 2021 novel, and is set to premiere on July 15, 2026.
-
The Lake (2026 film)
The Lake is a 2026 American documentary film directed by Abby Ellis. It investigates the ecological collapse of the Great Salt Lake in Utah and the race by scientists and politicians to prevent an "environmental nuclear bomb."
-
Linux.conf.aulinux.conf.au is Australasia's regional Linux and open source conference. It is a roaming conference, held in a different Australian or New Zealand city every year, coordinated by Linux Australia and organised by local volunteers.
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LCK 2026 Season Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$3.3M in lifetime turnover and $77K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for lol contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 6 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LCK 2026 Season Winner"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Related prediction markets
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: