Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Dogecoin's price movement over a five-minute window on 2 June 2026 between 1:30pm and 1:35pm ET will determine this market's resolution. The settlement relies on Chainlink's DOGE/USD data stream rather than spot market prices, a distinction that matters for traders familiar with oracle-based derivatives. The current 50/50 split on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty about directional movement within such a compressed timeframe, where typical intraday volatility patterns and microstructure effects dominate over fundamental drivers.
Five-minute price movements in Dogecoin historically correlate with broader cryptocurrency market momentum and Bitcoin's immediate price action, given DOGE's high beta relative to the leading asset. During periods of low volatility, such tight windows often resolve randomly around the opening price; during volatile sessions, momentum from the preceding hour typically carries through. Comparable five-minute windows in 2025 showed roughly 52–54% of cases resolving upward during US trading hours, though this varied significantly by market regime.
Traders should monitor Bitcoin's price action in the minutes preceding 1:30pm ET and watch for any scheduled economic data releases or cryptocurrency exchange announcements that could trigger volatility spikes. Chainlink's data feed updates at regular intervals, so any discrepancy between spot prices and the oracle's reported value at settlement time could affect outcomes. The tight settlement window means that news arriving after 1:30pm ET will not influence resolution, making pre-market positioning and technical levels from the preceding session the primary tactical considerations.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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