Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Navarro and Iva Jovic in the Internationaux de Strasbourg, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Navarro' if Emma Navarro advances against Iva Jovic. This market will resolve to 'Iva Jovic' if Iva Jovic advances against Emma Navarro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Odds will populate live once the order book fills with 7 days to resolution, well inside the window where catalysts move price most, backed by $555K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic Set 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 21.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 22.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 23.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Emma Navarro is due to face Iva Jovic at the Internationaux de Strasbourg, with the market currently pricing Navarro around a 64% chance on Polymarket. That figure is being formed from the live order book rather than a single bookmaker line, so it can move quickly if liquidity shifts or if traders react to fresh team or schedule information. The settlement window runs to 27 May, which matters because a match delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date without a winner would fall to 50-50 under the market rules.
The current price sits between two broad interpretations of the matchup: Navarro’s higher-level tour experience and clay-court pedigree against Jovic’s recent upside and lower-rating profile. Comparable WTA markets for first-time meetings often tighten when the favourite is not a strong clay specialist or when the underdog has already shown competitive form in qualifying or early rounds. Preview coverage on 19–20 May, including Last Word On Sports and Tennis Tonic, noted the first meeting and gave Jovic some support, but neither source changes the basic market structure: traders are still weighing ranking depth against current form.
The main catalysts are simple: confirmation that the match is played on schedule, any late order-of-play changes, and whether either player withdraws or retires after the match starts. Tennis markets can reprice sharply around official tournament updates, since a postponed start can affect both the settlement timetable and how likely a finish is. If the match is not completed and one player advances by retirement, that still resolves to the advancing player; only a cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days pushes the market to 50-50.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 27 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.wtatennis.com/scores), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($555K of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$705K in lifetime turnover and $555K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $701K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 27 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: