Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Pereira and Petar Jovanovic in the ITF Men Bol, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Petar Jovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Petar Jovanovic' if Petar Jovanovic advances against Tiago Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Bol: Tiago Pereira vs Petar Jovanovic | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Tiago Pereira faces Petar Jovanovic in an ITF Men's tournament match scheduled for 27 May 2026 at Bol, Croatia. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Pereira, indicating near-certain market confidence in his advancement. This extreme pricing typically emerges when one player holds a decisive ranking advantage, recent form edge, or when one competitor has withdrawn or injury concerns have surfaced. The settlement window closes 3 June 2026, allowing a six-day buffer beyond the scheduled date for match completion.
ITF Men's circuit matches at this level show considerable volatility in outcomes, particularly on clay surfaces where Bol's tournament is contested. Historical comparable matches between players of similar ranking bands (typically outside the top 200) demonstrate that 100% probabilities are rare and often correct only when one player has a documented withdrawal or injury announcement. The current pricing suggests either confirmed information about Jovanovic's status or a significant ranking disparity—Pereira likely holds a material advantage in ATP ranking or recent tournament results.
Traders should monitor official ITF and ATP communications through 26 May for any withdrawal announcements, injury updates, or schedule changes. Weather delays at Bol could trigger the seven-day rule, which would resolve the market to 50-50 if the match remains unplayed beyond 3 June. Confirmation of both players' arrival and accreditation at the venue typically occurs 24–48 hours before play, providing final clarity on match likelihood.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Bol: Tiago Pereira vs Petar Jovanovic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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