Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Mcgary and John Echeverria in the ITF Men Kutaisi, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Mcgary' if Jack Mcgary advances against John Echeverria. This market will resolve to 'John Echeverria' if John Echeverria advances against Jack Mcgary. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kutaisi: Jack Mcgary vs John Echeverria | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Jack McGary and John Echeverria are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Kutaisi tournament on 14 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket prices McGary's advancement at 32 per cent, implying Echeverria is favoured at 68 per cent.
ITF Men's events typically feature players ranked outside the top 200, with outcomes heavily influenced by recent form, surface preference, and head-to-head records. McGary's 32 per cent probability suggests the market perceives him as the underdog, likely reflecting either a ranking disadvantage, unfavourable recent results, or historical matchup data favouring Echeverria. Comparable ITF fixtures at this level show that crowd-implied probabilities often stabilise around 30–35 per cent for underdogs when there is a clear disparity in ranking or recent tournament performance.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any player withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 14 May, as ITF events occasionally see late scratches due to injury or scheduling conflicts. The settlement window extends to 21 May, allowing seven days for the match to be completed; delays beyond this trigger a 50-50 resolution. Surface conditions at the Kutaisi venue and any updated ranking shifts in the fortnight before play could shift the order book, particularly if either player posts a notable result in preceding tournaments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kutaisi: Jack Mcgary vs John Echeverria" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $76 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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