Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Lukosiute and Lamiss Houas in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Lukosiute' if Andre Lukosiute advances against Lamiss Houas. This market will resolve to 'Lamiss Houas' if Lamiss Houas advances against Andre Lukosiute. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Lamiss Houas | 94% YES | 6% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
André Lukosiute will face Lamiss Houas in the ITF Women's Monastir tournament, originally scheduled for 3 June 2026. The match is set for the early morning slot at 04:45 ET, with settlement occurring by 10 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 94% implied probability favouring Lukosiute's advancement, suggesting the market has priced in a substantial favourite status for the Lithuanian player.
ITF Women's events at the Monastir venue typically see completion rates above 95%, with walkovers and retirements accounting for most non-finishes. Comparable lower-ranked ITF matches involving players outside the top 200 show similar probability distributions when one competitor holds a notable ranking advantage. Historical data from ITF Monastir tournaments indicates that matches scheduled in early morning slots occasionally face weather-related delays, though the June timeframe in Tunisia presents lower cancellation risk than winter months.
Traders should monitor player injury announcements in the week preceding 3 June, as ITF competitors frequently withdraw from events due to minor injuries or scheduling conflicts. Tournament draw confirmations typically arrive 48 hours before play. The settlement window's 7-day extension clause becomes relevant only if the match begins but remains incomplete—a scenario occurring in fewer than 3% of ITF matches. Current volatility in the order book suggests limited uncertainty, with the 94% probability reflecting confidence in both match completion and Lukosiute's progression.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Lamiss Houas" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$69 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $69 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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