Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Khomutsianskaya and Yidi Yang in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Khomutsianskaya' if Daria Khomutsianskaya advances against Yidi Yang. This market will resolve to 'Yidi Yang' if Yidi Yang advances against Daria Khomutsianskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Yidi Yang | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Daria Khomutsianskaya and Yidi Yang are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament in Wuning on 1 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Khomutsianskaya's advancement at 30%, reflecting a substantial underdog position relative to Yang. This probability emerges from real-time trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, where traders are pricing in available form data, recent match results, and head-to-head records between the two competitors.
ITF Women's tournaments typically feature significant variance in outcomes, particularly when comparing players outside the top 100 rankings. Khomutsianskaya's 30% implied probability suggests the market views her as a clear underdog, though ITF matches frequently produce upsets given the competitive depth at this level. Historical ITF results show that seeding disparities often compress during actual play, meaning current pricing may not fully account for tactical matchup factors or surface-specific strengths that emerge closer to competition.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any late withdrawals in the days preceding 1 June, as ITF scheduling occasionally shifts due to player injuries or administrative changes. Surface conditions at the Wuning venue and recent performance data from both players' preceding matches will sharpen probability estimates as the event approaches. The settlement window closes 9 June 2026, allowing seven days for match completion; any delays beyond this point or incomplete matches trigger a 50-50 resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Yidi Yang" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$19K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $19K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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