Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Chepelev and Mili Poljicak in the ITF Men Bol, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Chepelev' if Andrey Chepelev advances against Mili Poljicak. This market will resolve to 'Mili Poljicak' if Mili Poljicak advances against Andrey Chepelev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Bol: Andrey Chepelev vs Mili Poljicak | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Andrey Chepelev and Mili Poljicak are scheduled to meet in the ITF Men's tournament at Bol, Croatia on 29 May 2026. The match is set for 05:30 ET, with settlement occurring by 09:30 ET on 5 June 2026. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at present or strong consensus positioning against Chepelev's chances in this fixture. ITF Men's events typically draw lower trading volumes than ATP or Challenger tournaments, which can result in sparse order books and extreme probability readings that shift substantially once meaningful liquidity enters.
Chepelev, a Russian player, and Poljicak, a Croatian competitor, represent relatively modest rankings within the ITF circuit. Historical precedent suggests that early-round ITF matches involving lower-ranked players often see probability estimates that fail to account for home-court advantage, recent form variance, or head-to-head records. Poljicak's status as the home player at Bol could explain the market's current lean, though this alone rarely justifies zero probability for an opponent.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations, injury announcements, and any weather disruptions affecting the Croatian coast in late May. Recent ITF scheduling has shown increased cancellations due to weather or player withdrawals. The seven-day grace period before 50-50 resolution provides some buffer, but confirmation of both players' participation and fitness status remains the primary catalyst. Court surface conditions at Bol and any last-minute ranking updates could also shift the order book once trading activity increases.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Bol: Andrey Chepelev vs Mili Poljicak" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$237 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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