Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Dmitrii Burtsev and Egor Agafonov in the ITF Men Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dmitrii Burtsev' if Dmitrii Burtsev advances against Egor Agafonov. This market will resolve to 'Egor Agafonov' if Egor Agafonov advances against Dmitrii Burtsev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Dmitrii Burtsev vs Egor Agafonov | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Dmitrii Burtsev and Egor Agafonov are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Tsaghkadzor tournament on 27 May 2026. The match is set for 6:00 AM ET, with settlement occurring by 3 June 2026. The current orderbook on Polymarket shows zero volume at any price level, resulting in an implied probability of 0% for Burtsev's advancement. This reflects minimal liquidity rather than market conviction; such sparse conditions are common for lower-tier ITF matches where retail and professional traders alike have limited information density and reduced capital allocation.
Both players compete primarily on the ITF circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on surface conditions, recent form, and head-to-head records. Burtsev and Agafonov have limited ATP ranking points, placing them outside mainstream sports data coverage. Historical ITF matches at Tsaghkadzor have proceeded as scheduled, though weather disruptions in Armenia during late May are possible. The resolution criteria include a 50-50 split if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or ends in a tie—conditions that would reset market expectations entirely.
Traders monitoring this match should track tournament draw confirmations and any weather alerts for the Tsaghkadzor venue in the week preceding 27 May. Recent ITF scheduling data suggests Armenian tournaments typically proceed on schedule, but withdrawal announcements or player injuries can emerge within 48 hours of play. The zero-probability reading suggests no meaningful order flow has formed; any new information regarding either player's fitness or tournament logistics could shift the orderbook substantially from its current inactive state.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Dmitrii Burtsev vs Egor Agafonov" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$42 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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