Tennis

Trade: Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Henry Searle and Nicolas Mejia in the Little Rock, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry Searle' if Henry Searle advances against Nicolas Mejia. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Henry Searle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
—
Total Volume
$57K
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
$29K
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 Winner 0% YES100% NO
Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia 0% YES100% NO
Completed Match 100% YES0% NO
Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% YES0% NO
Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 21.5 0% YES100% NO
Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 23.5 0% YES100% NO
Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5 0% YES100% NO
Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 22.5 0% YES100% NO

Market context

Henry Searle and Nicolas Mejia are scheduled to compete in the Little Rock tennis tournament on 26 May 2026. The match is part of the ATP Challenger circuit, a tier below the main ATP Tour where both players typically compete. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to Searle advancing, reflecting either minimal trading activity or strong conviction amongst early traders that Mejia will progress.

The 0% implied probability is unusual for a competitive tennis match between two players of comparable ranking. Historical precedent suggests such extreme probabilities typically emerge when one player holds a decisive head-to-head record, possesses significantly superior recent form, or when one competitor is absent from the market entirely due to injury or withdrawal. Without recent ATP Challenger results or a substantial head-to-head history between these players, the current pricing warrants scrutiny—it may reflect incomplete information rather than genuine predictive consensus.

Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and player status updates through late May, as injuries and withdrawals are commonplace on the Challenger circuit. Recent form data from both players' performances in preceding tournaments will become material as the match date approaches. The settlement window extends to 2 June 2026, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for completion, which provides buffer for potential delays without triggering a 50-50 resolution.

Wikipedia Context

  • Little Rock, Arkansas
    Little Rock, Arkansas

    Little Rock is the capital and most populous city of the U.S. state of Arkansas. The population was 202,591 at the 2020 census, while the Little Rock metropolitan area with an estimated 770,000 residents is the 81st-most populous metropolitan area in the United States. The city lies on the south bank of the Arkansas River close to the state's geographic cent

  • Little Rock Nine
    Little Rock Nine

    The Little Rock Nine were a group of nine African American students enrolled in Little Rock Central High School in 1957. Their enrollment was followed by the Little Rock Crisis, in which the students were initially prevented from entering the racially segregated school by Orval Faubus, the Governor of Arkansas. They then attended after the intervention of Pr

  • Little Rock Central High School
    Little Rock Central High School

    Little Rock Central High School (LRCH) is an accredited comprehensive public high school in Little Rock, Arkansas, United States. The school was the site of the Little Rock Crisis in 1957 after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that segregation by race in public schools was unconstitutional three years earlier. This was during the period of heightened activism in

  • Little Rock School District
    Little Rock School District

    The Little Rock School District is a school district in Little Rock, Arkansas, United States. It is one of four public school districts in Pulaski County and encompasses 97.60 square miles (252.8 km2) of land nearly coterminous with the state's capital and largest city. In addition to most of Little Rock it serves Cammack Village. The district however does n

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$57K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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