Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Sergey Fomin in the Chisinau, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Sergey Fomin. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Sumit Nagal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Sergey Fomin | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Sergey Fomin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Sergey Fomin Match O/U 22.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Sergey Fomin Match O/U 23.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Sergey Fomin Match O/U 21.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Sergey Fomin Set 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Sergey Fomin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Sumit Nagal and Sergey Fomin are scheduled to meet in the Chisinau tournament on 26 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Nagal's advancement, indicating either overwhelming confidence in his superiority or minimal liquidity at present depth. Settlement occurs by 2 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for completion before the market resolves to 50-50 in case of cancellation or delay.
Nagal, an Indian professional ranked in the ATP's upper-middle tier, has competed regularly on the ATP and Challenger circuits with mixed results on clay and hard courts. Fomin, a Moldovan player, typically competes at Challenger level. Historical matchups between players of differing ranking tiers at regional tournaments like Chisinau often see the higher-ranked player favoured, though upsets occur at roughly 15–25% frequency depending on surface and recent form. The extreme probability here suggests either Fomin's withdrawal is anticipated or the market has priced in Nagal's recent performances with high confidence.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and player injury reports through late May. Nagal's recent match results and any scheduling conflicts with other tournaments will affect his preparation. Weather delays in Chisinau during late May are possible but uncommon. Fomin's current fitness status and recent Challenger results warrant attention, as does any last-minute withdrawal announcement. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides some protection against minor scheduling disruptions, though retirements mid-match would trigger advancement for the opponent rather than a 50-50 split.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Sergey Fomin" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$33K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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