Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Sasikumar Mukund and Alastair Gray in the Bengaluru 3, originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sasikumar Mukund' if Sasikumar Mukund advances against Alastair Gray. This market will resolve to 'Alastair Gray' if Alastair Gray advances against Sasikumar Mukund. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Current odds favour the YES side at 99%, making this a high-confidence market with 7 days to resolution, well inside the window where catalysts move price most, backed by $148K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 99% YES | 1% NO |
| Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray Match O/U 21.5 | 99% YES | 1% NO |
| Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray Match O/U 23.5 | 99% YES | 1% NO |
| Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray Set 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray Match O/U 22.5 | 99% YES | 1% NO |
| Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Sasikumar Mukund is due to play Alastair Gray in Bengaluru 3, with the market set to resolve on who advances. The current 99% implied probability means the order book is pricing the match as effectively a foregone conclusion, with very little two-way liquidity needed to keep the YES side near the top of the screen. On Polymarket, that kind of price typically reflects either a strong expectation that the event will be played and settled normally, or thin opposing interest rather than a fresh, information-rich consensus.
For context, these Challenger-level tennis markets often move sharply only when the schedule changes, a player retires, or the fixture is postponed beyond the settlement window. SofiaScore lists the match for 21 May 2026 at 04:30 UTC, and Kalshi and Polymarket both describe it as the Bengaluru 3 quarter-final, which suggests the key issue is execution rather than identification of the event. Comparable cases in this tier have resolved 50-50 when matches were washed out or pushed outside the stated window, so traders will be watching for official draw updates, start-time changes, and any retirement or walkover reports from the tournament and live scoring feeds.
The main catalysts are therefore operational: whether the match is actually played, whether either player withdraws before first ball, and whether a completed result is posted before the seven-day deadline on 28 May. If there is any delay, the market’s definition gives a binary fallback to 50-50, so even a highly favoured side can remain vulnerable to venue, weather, or scheduling disruption. For market-readers, the important point is that the present price is being formed less by handicapping and more by the absence of a visible alternative outcome in the book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 28 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($148K of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$280K in lifetime turnover and $148K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $281K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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