Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ukraine Premier Liha game between FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi and FK Polissia, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Draw | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| FK Polissia | 49% YES | 52% NO |
FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi will host FK Polissia in a Ukraine Premier Liha fixture on 12 May 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Dunaivtsi halftime win at 14% implied probability, reflecting substantial backing for either a draw or Polissia advantage in the opening period.
Ukrainian Premier League matches historically show halftime results skewed towards draws in roughly 35–40% of cases, with home advantage typically accounting for 5–8 percentage points in win probability across the full 90 minutes. Halftime markets compress this further; early goals remain relatively uncommon in the first 45 minutes of Ukrainian top-flight football, and defensive setups often dominate the opening phase. A 14% probability for the home side suggests the market is pricing Dunaivtsi as underdogs in the early stages, consistent with either team's recent form or perceived squad depth.
Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury updates and squad rotations as the fixture falls late in the domestic season. Fixture congestion—whether either side has European or cup commitments in the days prior—can influence tactical approach and player freshness. Weather conditions on match day, notably wind and rain common in Ukraine in May, may suppress early scoring. Settlement occurs at 12:30 UTC on 12 May, approximately three hours after kick-off, allowing the full halftime period to conclude before the market resolves.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://upl.ua/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi vs. FK Polissia - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$50 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $50 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://upl.ua/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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