Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Ukraine Premier Liha game, scheduled for Wednesday, May 13, 2026 between FK Dynamo Kyiv and FK Kolos Kovalivka.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FK Dynamo Kyiv | 68% YES | 33% NO |
| Draw (FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Kolos Kovalivka) | 20% YES | 80% NO |
| FK Kolos Kovalivka | 11% YES | 89% NO |
FK Dynamo Kyiv will face FK Kolos Kovalivka in a Ukraine Premier Liha fixture on Wednesday, 13 May 2026. The market is pricing a 59% probability for a Dynamo victory, reflecting the club's historical dominance in Ukrainian football. Dynamo have won the domestic league title multiple times and typically field stronger squads than mid-table opponents. The current order book on Polymarket is supporting this probability, with traders pricing in Dynamo's structural advantage whilst acknowledging genuine uncertainty inherent in single-match outcomes.
Dynamo's recent performance trajectory and squad stability will be critical reference points. The club has consistently finished in the top two of the Premier Liha over the past decade, though results vary considerably depending on fixture congestion, European competition demands, and injury status. Kolos Kovalivka, based in central Ukraine, operates with considerably fewer resources and has historically occupied mid-table positions. Head-to-head records between these sides show Dynamo winning the majority of encounters, though occasional upsets occur in domestic football.
Traders should monitor team news releases in the week preceding 13 May, particularly regarding Dynamo's injury list and any fixture scheduling changes. European competition involvement—should Dynamo progress in continental tournaments—could affect squad rotation decisions. Weather conditions in Kyiv region during May and any late-season form shifts will influence match dynamics. Settlement occurs at 12:30 UTC on match day, allowing for final-whistle confirmation before the window closes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://upl.ua/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Kolos Kovalivka" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$103 in lifetime turnover and $14K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $93 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://upl.ua/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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