Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Zhu Kangjie" if Zhu Kangjie is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ramon Taveras at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026. It will resolve to "Ramon Taveras" if Ramon Taveras is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Zhu Kangjie vs. Ramon Taveras | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Kangjie to win by KO/TKO? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Taveras to win by KO/TKO? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Zhu Kangjie faces Ramon Taveras in a featherweight preliminary bout at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo on 30 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 53% implied probability for Zhu, suggesting near-parity between the fighters. This probability is formed through real-time trading activity, with the spread between bid and ask prices determining the marginal probability at which traders are willing to transact.
Zhu Kangjie, a Chinese featherweight, competes within a division where technical striking and wrestling form the baseline expectation. Taveras, a Dominican fighter, brings comparable experience at this weight class. Historical featherweight matchups at UFC Fight Night events—typically featuring developing talent rather than ranked contenders—show that preliminary bouts often resolve along technical lines, with wrestling-heavy fighters and strikers splitting outcomes roughly evenly. The 53% probability for Zhu suggests the market perceives a marginal edge, though not a decisive one.
Traders should monitor official UFC weigh-in results on 29 May, as missed weight or fighter withdrawal would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Any late injury announcements or replacement fighter news would shift the probability substantially. The preliminary card status means limited mainstream media coverage; information typically flows through UFC official channels and specialist MMA outlets rather than broader sports reporting. Settlement occurs within hours of the event conclusion, contingent on official UFC scorecards and decision announcements.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ufc.com/events. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "UFC Fight Night: Zhu Kangjie vs. Ramon Taveras (Featherweight, Prelims)" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$150 in lifetime turnover and $15K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $150 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ufc.com/events. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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