Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Red Bull Bragantino and Carabobo FC, scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Red Bull Bragantino | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Carabobo FC | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Red Bull Bragantino will host Carabobo FC in a Copa Sudamericana fixture on 27 May 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. The market settles on the halftime scoreline—whether Bragantino wins, a draw holds, or Carabobo prevails in the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Current order book depth on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for a Bragantino halftime victory, suggesting traders view the Brazilian club's home advantage and attacking capability as balanced against Carabobo's defensive setup and travel fatigue from Venezuela.
Bragantino's recent domestic form and Copa Sudamericana pedigree provide context. The São Paulo-based club typically dominates possession in early stages at home, though their halftime conversion rates have varied considerably depending on opponent quality and tactical approach. Carabobo, a Venezuelan side, historically struggles in away fixtures against Brazilian clubs, particularly in the opening period when adjustment to pace and intensity lags. Historical Copa Sudamericana data shows Brazilian clubs win approximately 58–62% of halftime results at home against Venezuelan opposition, though sample sizes remain modest.
Traders should monitor team news through 27 May regarding injuries or late lineup changes, particularly Bragantino's attacking personnel. Weather conditions in the São Paulo region may affect early-game tempo. Carabobo's recent domestic form and any squad rotation decisions will signal their halftime defensive intent. The settlement window closes at 00:30 UTC on 28 May, allowing full match context if needed for dispute resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $274 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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