Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between SS Lazio and FC Internazionale Milano.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| SS Lazio | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Internazionale Milano | 100% YES | 0% NO |
On Saturday, 9 May 2026, SS Lazio will host FC Internazionale Milano in a Serie A fixture. The settlement window closes at 16:00 UTC that day, capturing the final result of the match. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for a YES resolution, indicating that traders are pricing this event with near-zero likelihood of occurring as specified—a pricing that typically reflects either extreme confidence in an alternative outcome or minimal liquidity at the YES side of the book.
Lazio and Inter have competed at the top of Italian football for decades, with Inter holding a stronger recent record in Serie A titles and European competition. Historical matchups between these clubs show competitive encounters; however, the 0% probability suggests the market is not pricing this as a standard competitive fixture but rather reflecting either a specific settlement criterion that appears highly unlikely or a liquidity imbalance where no traders have yet posted meaningful YES orders. Serie A scheduling and team form in early May 2026 will be material, as will any late fixture changes or postponements announced by the Italian Football Federation.
Traders monitoring this market should track team news, injury reports, and any official fixture amendments from Lega Serie A in the weeks preceding the match. Fixture congestion from European competitions and domestic cup runs in April and early May could affect squad availability. The wide gap between the implied probability and typical competitive match dynamics suggests watching for either clarification of the settlement terms or shifts in liquidity as the fixture date approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.legaseriea.it/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3.2M in lifetime turnover and $1.1M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3.2M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.legaseriea.it/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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