Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Sports outcome markets settle within hours of game-end via the UMA optimistic oracle, with the YES/NO line refreshing in real time on every meaningful in-game event. Current odds favour the NO side at 35%, making this a directional market with 1 day to resolution — final-48h markets historically see the largest volume spikes, backed by $752K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 77% YES | 24% NO |
| O/U 6.5 | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| O/U 7.5 | 23% YES | 77% NO |
The Montreal Canadiens face the Carolina Hurricanes in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Final on 21 May, with overtime and shootout outcomes counting in full for settlement. The market is currently pricing a 36% chance of a Canadiens win, which is below most conventional betting signals: ESPN lists Carolina as the home side, while mainstream books and model-based previews have the Hurricanes around -185 on the moneyline and roughly -275 to advance in the series. On an order book like Polymarket’s, that 36% is being formed by live bids and offers rather than a fixed bookmaker line, so it can move quickly if liquidity shifts or if traders lean harder on one side during the final hours before puck drop.
Historically, prices in this range on playoff games usually reflect a clear but not overwhelming home favourite, especially when the underdog has already shown resilience in earlier rounds. That is the case here: Sportsnet notes Carolina swept two series to reach the conference final, while Montreal needed two seven-game series. Comparable markets in the NHL tend to tighten when the underdog has elite goaltending or a strong recent special-teams run, but they also widen when the favourite owns the stronger five-on-five profile and home-ice advantage, both of which favour Carolina based on current previews.
Traders should watch final line-up confirmations, starting goalie announcements and any late injury or load-management news, as these are the main catalysts that can alter both the game line and the book-vs-market gap. Daily Faceoff’s preview highlights Montreal’s young core against a Carolina side that has been dominant in the post-season, while ESPN’s listing confirms the game is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET; any postponement would keep the market open until completion, and a cancellation with no make-up would settle 50-50. The main dependency is simply whether the game goes ahead on schedule, because the settlement window closes the following day.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nhl.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 22 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.nhl.com/scores), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Sports markets on PolyGram historically have the fastest payout cycle — over 94% clear within four hours of game-end, with the remainder gated by overtime, weather, or referee review. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Canadiens vs. Hurricanes", sports markets tend to see the tightest 1-2¢ spreads in the final hour before tip-off, widening rapidly the moment of any in-game news.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($752K of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
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The mechanics for trading "Canadiens vs. Hurricanes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$232K in lifetime turnover and $752K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $205K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nhl.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 22 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Canadiens vs. Hurricanes", the considerations above apply directly — Sports outcome contracts are sensitive to single-event variance — a coin-flip game, a referee call, or an injured player can move the line 10-30¢ in seconds. Position sizing should reflect that variance rather than the expected value alone.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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