Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 10 at 9:30PM ET: If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights". If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 81% YES | 20% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 60% YES | 41% NO |
| O/U 6.5 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| O/U 7.5 | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 30% YES | 71% NO |
The Vegas Golden Knights face the Anaheim Ducks in an NHL matchup scheduled for 10 May at 9:30PM ET, with settlement occurring shortly after the final whistle. The market currently reflects a 50-50 split on Polymarket's order book, indicating genuine uncertainty amongst traders regarding the outcome. This even probability suggests neither side possesses a clear edge in the eyes of the market, though the specific matchup context—including playoff positioning, recent form, and roster availability—will determine whether this equilibrium holds through to game time.
Historical context for Knights-Ducks fixtures shows competitive variance depending on the season's stage and team composition. Vegas has generally held stronger regular-season records against Anaheim in recent years, though playoff scenarios introduce different dynamics around defensive intensity and goaltending performance. The current 50-50 pricing suggests traders are pricing in uncertainty that extends beyond simple win-loss records, potentially reflecting concerns about injury status or the specific circumstances of this fixture within the broader season context.
Traders should monitor roster announcements in the days preceding the match, particularly regarding key forwards or defensive personnel for either side. Recent Vegas and Anaheim injury reports, available through official NHL channels and team statements, will likely shift the order book as game time approaches. Schedule dependencies—including whether either team plays the preceding day—represent another material factor. The settlement window closes 11 May at 01:30 UTC, allowing approximately four hours post-game for final confirmation of the result including any overtime or shootout resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nhl.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Golden Knights vs. Ducks" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$154K in lifetime turnover and $469K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $149K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nhl.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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