Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 8 at 9:30PM ET: If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights". If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 7.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Vegas Golden Knights face the Anaheim Ducks in an NHL matchup scheduled for 8 May at 9:30PM ET. The market's 100% implied probability reflects the current order book on Polymarket, where traders are pricing this as a near-certainty outcome for one side. Such extreme probabilities typically emerge when one team holds a decisive advantage—whether through playoff seeding, recent form, or roster composition—though the specific context determining which direction the market has settled requires examination of current standings and team performance metrics.
May fixtures in the NHL calendar fall within the Stanley Cup Playoffs window, meaning both teams' playoff eligibility and seeding positions directly influence their motivation and available personnel. Historical precedent shows that playoff-stage matchups between established franchises rarely settle at extreme probabilities unless one team faces significant injury concerns or has already been eliminated from contention. The Golden Knights and Ducks have maintained competitive rosters in recent seasons, though their relative positioning in the Western Conference bracket would determine whether either enters this fixture with reduced stakes.
Traders monitoring this market should track official NHL injury reports released in the 48 hours before puck drop, as late roster changes—particularly involving starting goaltenders or primary offensive contributors—can shift competitive balance substantially. Confirmation of playoff scenarios and final seeding announcements typically occur in early May, directly affecting team intensity. Any postponement or cancellation notices would trigger the market's contingency provisions, with postponements keeping the market open until completion and outright cancellations resolving at 50-50 odds.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nhl.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Golden Knights vs. Ducks" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$901K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $857K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nhl.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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