Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Major League Pickleball team matchup between Orlando Squeeze and Utah Black Diamonds at MLP Dallas, scheduled for May 25 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Orlando Squeeze' if Orlando Squeeze wins the overall team matchup against Utah Black Diamonds. This market will resolve to 'Utah Black Diamonds' if Utah Black Diamonds wins the overall team matchup against Orlando Squeeze. If the matchup is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Sports outcome markets settle within hours of game-end via the UMA optimistic oracle, with the YES/NO line refreshing in real time on every meaningful in-game event. Current odds favour the YES side at 80%, making this a high-confidence market with 7 days to resolution, well inside the window where catalysts move price most, backed by $232 of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| MLP Dallas: Orlando Squeeze vs Utah Black Diamonds | 80% YES | 20% NO |
Orlando Squeeze will face Utah Black Diamonds in a Major League Pickleball team matchup at the Dallas event on 25 May at 10:00 AM ET. The market currently reflects an 80% implied probability favouring Orlando, with this probability formed through Polymarket's order book as traders price the expected outcome of the overall team competition between these two franchises.
Orlando Squeeze has established itself as a competitive force within MLP, whilst Utah Black Diamonds represents a newer franchise still building its roster strength and tournament performance record. Historical MLP results show that established teams with deeper talent pools and prior tournament experience typically command probability premiums in head-to-head matchups. The current 80% probability aligns with Orlando's positioning as the stronger outfit, though the specific composition of each team's lineup for this Dallas event will materially affect the actual competitive balance.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and any injury updates from both franchises in the weeks preceding the match, as MLP team compositions can shift between events. The settlement window extends to 1 June at 14:00 UTC, providing a week buffer beyond the scheduled match date for results to be confirmed. Any cancellation, postponement beyond 7 days, or tie result would trigger a 50-50 resolution, a tail risk currently priced into the order book at roughly 20% combined probability across all non-Orlando outcomes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://majorleaguepickleball.co/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 1 June 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://majorleaguepickleball.co/), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Sports markets on PolyGram historically have the fastest payout cycle — over 94% clear within four hours of game-end, with the remainder gated by overtime, weather, or referee review. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "MLP Dallas: Orlando Squeeze vs Utah Black Diamonds", sports markets tend to see the tightest 1-2¢ spreads in the final hour before tip-off, widening rapidly the moment of any in-game news.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. At the current YES price of 80%, a $50 stake on YES buys roughly 63 shares; if YES resolves true those shares pay out at $1.00 each (a $63 gross payout, or +$13 profit). If NO resolves, the shares are worth $0. Slippage tolerance and resting-order depth determine the actual fill.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
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The mechanics for trading "MLP Dallas: Orlando Squeeze vs Utah Black Diamonds" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$78K in lifetime turnover and $232 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $78K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 80%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://majorleaguepickleball.co/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "MLP Dallas: Orlando Squeeze vs Utah Black Diamonds", the considerations above apply directly — Sports outcome contracts are sensitive to single-event variance — a coin-flip game, a referee call, or an injured player can move the line 10-30¢ in seconds. Position sizing should reflect that variance rather than the expected value alone.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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