Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Major League Pickleball team matchup between Orlando Squeeze and New Jersey 5s at MLP Dallas, scheduled for May 24 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Orlando Squeeze' if Orlando Squeeze wins the overall team matchup against New Jersey 5s. This market will resolve to 'New Jersey 5s' if New Jersey 5s wins the overall team matchup against Orlando Squeeze. If the matchup is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| MLP Dallas: Orlando Squeeze vs New Jersey 5s | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Orlando Squeeze will face the New Jersey 5s in a Major League Pickleball team matchup at MLP Dallas on 24 May at 3:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for an Orlando victory, indicating that traders are pricing in either a New Jersey win or a non-resolution event (cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days). This extreme skew suggests either substantial confidence in New Jersey's competitive advantage or significant uncertainty about match completion.
MLP team matchups typically resolve based on overall series outcomes rather than single games, with competitive balance varying considerably across the league. Historical precedent shows that pre-match probabilities in pickleball often shift materially once roster confirmations and recent form data emerge closer to event dates. The 0% reading here is unusually extreme for a matchup between two established franchises, suggesting either New Jersey holds a documented recent advantage or the market has limited liquidity and order flow at present.
Traders should monitor official MLP announcements regarding player availability and any schedule changes through the settlement window closing 31 May at 19:00 UTC. Recent roster moves, injury reports, or head-to-head records released in the week preceding the match could substantially alter the current probability. Weather conditions at the Dallas venue and any last-minute venue changes would also trigger resolution contingencies, particularly given the seven-day grace period for delayed matches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://majorleaguepickleball.co/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "MLP Dallas: Orlando Squeeze vs New Jersey 5s" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$174 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://majorleaguepickleball.co/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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