Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for June 10 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| NRFI | 50% YES | 50% NO |
The Texas Rangers face the Kansas City Royals on 10 June at 7:40 PM ET in an MLB regular-season matchup. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating the market perceives this as a genuine toss-up between the two teams. Settlement occurs on 17 June, allowing seven days for the game to be completed and official statistics to be recorded.
Historically, Rangers-Royals matchups have shown competitive balance, though the Rangers have generally held a slight edge in recent seasons. The 50-50 implied probability suggests traders are pricing in comparable strength between the squads, with no clear favourite emerging from available information. This even split often reflects uncertainty about starting pitcher matchups, recent form, or injury status that may not yet be fully reflected in the market.
Key catalysts for traders include confirmation of starting pitchers (typically announced 24–48 hours before game time), any late-breaking injury reports affecting roster composition, and weather conditions at the venue. Recent team performance trends and head-to-head records matter less than these immediate variables. The settlement window extends to 23:40 UTC on 17 June, providing ample time for postponements or rescheduling should weather or other factors delay the fixture. Traders should monitor official MLB communications and team announcements for roster changes or scheduling updates that could shift the current equilibrium.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $36 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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