Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Liga MX game between Pumas de la UNAM and CF América, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 9:15 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Pumas de la UNAM | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CF América | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Pumas de la UNAM will host CF América on 10 May 2026 at 9:15 PM ET in a Liga MX fixture. The halftime result market settles on the outcome after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three possible outcomes: Pumas victory, draw, or América away win. The current order book on Polymarket is pricing this event at 100% implied probability for YES, suggesting either extreme confidence in one outcome or potential liquidity constraints in the market depth.
Liga MX derbies between these rivals historically produce volatile first-half dynamics. Pumas' home record at Estadio Olímpico Universitario typically favours early aggression, whilst América's away form in recent seasons has shown defensive solidity in opening periods. Comparable halftime markets in Mexican league fixtures have rarely settled at extreme probabilities; the 100% reading warrants scrutiny of whether this reflects genuine predictive consensus or reflects thin order book depth at current price levels.
Traders should monitor team news releases in the week preceding the match, particularly injury confirmations for key attacking players who influence early-game tempo. Weather conditions at Mexico City's elevation can affect first-half pacing. Recent fixture congestion in Liga MX's calendar may influence squad rotation decisions announced closer to kickoff. The settlement window closes at 01:15 UTC on 11 May, approximately four hours after the final whistle, allowing time for official halftime scoresheets to be confirmed.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF América - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$335 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $335 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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