Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Tuesday, May 19, 2026 between CD Coquimbo Unido and CD Tolima.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Coquimbo Unido | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| Draw (CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Tolima) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| CD Tolima | 26% YES | 75% NO |
CD Coquimbo Unido will face CD Tolima in a Copa Libertadores group-stage fixture on 19 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 40% implied probability for a Coquimbo Unido victory, with settlement contingent on the final result at the scheduled close of play.
Coquimbo Unido, based in Chile's fourth-largest city, has historically struggled in continental competition, with limited knockout-stage appearances in Copa Libertadores history. Tolima, a Colombian side from Ibagué, has reached the final in 2014 and maintains more consistent continental pedigree. The 40% probability assigned to the Chilean club reflects both the typical home advantage in South American fixtures and the relative strength differential between the two programmes. Recent Copa Libertadores group stages have seen home teams convert roughly 45–50% of matches into victories, suggesting the current pricing may underweight Coquimbo's home-ground factor slightly.
Traders should monitor team news through mid-May, particularly injury updates and squad rotation decisions as both clubs navigate domestic league commitments. Fixture congestion in the Colombian and Chilean calendars often influences squad availability. Venue confirmation—Coquimbo typically plays at Estadio Regional de Coquimbo—and any late weather alerts will matter for match conditions. Historical head-to-head records between these sides are sparse, limiting comparative data, though recent form in domestic leagues and Copa Libertadores group standings as of May will provide the most relevant directional signals for probability reassessment.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://conmebollibertadores.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Tolima" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$547 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $25 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://conmebollibertadores.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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