Trade: RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming La Liga game between RC Celta de Vigo and Levante UD, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD match originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $84K
- Total Volume
- $1K
- 24h Volume
- $1K
- Open Interest
- $1K
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 3% YES | 98% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
Market context
RC Celta de Vigo will face Levante UD in a La Liga fixture on 12 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects an 11% implied probability for the YES outcome, formed across Polymarket's order book where traders are pricing specific scoreline combinations. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on match day, allowing for fixture completion and official confirmation.
Exact-score markets in La Liga typically see low probabilities on individual outcomes because the universe of possible results is large—the most common scorelines (1–0, 1–1, 2–1) rarely exceed 15–20% implied probability in isolation. Historical data from comparable fixtures suggests that when two mid-table sides meet late in the season, draws and narrow victories dominate; however, Celta and Levante's respective form, injury status, and European qualification stakes will shape offensive and defensive intensity. The current 11% probability indicates traders are assigning this particular scoreline modest odds relative to the full distribution of possible results.
Traders should monitor team news in the week preceding the match, including confirmed absences through suspension or injury that affect attacking depth. Celta's home advantage at Balaídos typically yields higher scoring rates than Levante's away record, though late-season fixture congestion can suppress goal totals. Any official postponement would extend the settlement window; cancellation would trigger resolution to "Any Other Score." Recent La Liga scheduling has remained stable, but weather or administrative factors warrant tracking official league communications through 11 May.
Wikipedia Context
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RC Celta de VigoReal Club Celta de Vigo, commonly known as Celta Vigo or just Celta, is a Spanish professional football club based in Vigo, Galicia, that competes in La Liga, the top tier of Spanish football. Nicknamed Os Celestes, the club was founded in August 1923 as Club Celta, following the merger of Real Vigo Sporting and Real Fortuna. The club's home stadium is Balaí
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RC Celta Fortuna
Real Club Celta de Vigo Fortuna or simply Celta Fortuna is a Spanish football team based in Vigo, Pontevedra, in the autonomous community of Galicia. Founded in 1927, it is the reserve team of Celta Vigo and competes in the Primera Federación – Group 1. They play their home games at Municipal de Barreiro, which can seat 1,024 spectators.
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Gran Peña FCGran Peña Fútbol Club is a Spanish football club based in the parish of Lavadores, Vigo, in the autonomous community of Galicia. Founded in 1926 it currently plays in Tercera Federación – Group 1, holding home games at Municipal de Barreiro, with a 4,500-seat capacity.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$1K in lifetime turnover and $84K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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