Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming La Liga game between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
FC Barcelona and Real Madrid will contest a La Liga fixture on 10 May 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The current order book on Polymarket implies an 8% probability for the YES outcome, reflecting the specificity required: bettors must correctly predict both teams' exact goal tallies from a discrete set of listed scorelines. Any result outside those explicitly enumerated outcomes resolves to "Any Other Score," which typically captures the majority of probability mass in exact-score markets.
Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in top-tier football derbies rarely exceed 10–15% probability for individual outcomes, given the combinatorial range of possible results. The Barcelona–Madrid fixture, whilst high-profile, produces varied scorelines: recent encounters have ranged from 0–0 draws to 4–0 victories, with no single scoreline dominating. The 8% current probability aligns with markets pricing outcomes that require precision rather than directional prediction.
Traders should monitor squad availability and injury reports as the fixture approaches, particularly regarding key attacking and defensive personnel. Managerial tactics and recent form trajectories in the weeks preceding May 2026 will influence expected goal distributions. Weather conditions on match day and any late-season pressure dynamics—whether either side contests for title position or European qualification—may shift expected scoring patterns. Settlement occurs at 19:00 UTC on 10 May, with the market remaining open if postponement occurs.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$119K in lifetime turnover and $611K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $116K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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