Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for June 6 at 5:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5) | 24% YES | 76% NO |
| Kyōto Sanga FC (-1.5) | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5) | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Kyōto Sanga FC (-2.5) | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 94% YES | 6% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 75% YES | 26% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 26% YES | 74% NO |
Kashiwa Reysol will face Kyōto Sanga FC on 6 June 2026 in the J1 League, Japan's top professional football division. This market settles on whether additional betting markets will be offered for the fixture. The current order book on Polymarket is pricing the probability at 25% YES, reflecting modest confidence that supplementary markets beyond standard match outcomes will be created for this particular fixture.
J1 League matches typically attract secondary markets when fixtures carry high profile or competitive significance. Reysol and Kyōto Sanga have both competed consistently in the top flight, though neither club commands the sustained media attention of Tokyo or Osaka-based sides. Historical precedent suggests that mid-table fixtures between provincial clubs generate fewer ancillary markets than derbies or title-deciding matches. The 25% probability reflects this baseline expectation: additional markets are plausible but not the default outcome for a routine league encounter.
Traders should monitor J1 League scheduling announcements and any late fixture reclassifications that might elevate the match's profile. Polymarket's market expansion decisions depend partly on liquidity expectations and user demand signals. If either club enters the final weeks of the season in contention for European qualification or relegation, the likelihood of supplementary markets would increase materially. The settlement window closes on 6 June at 09:00 UTC, allowing roughly five days before kickoff for any catalyst to emerge.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$164 in lifetime turnover and $17K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $13 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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