Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game between FC Mito Holly Hock and V-Varen Nagasaki, scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki match originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 13% YES | 88% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 12% YES | 88% NO |
FC Mito Holly Hock will face V-Varen Nagasaki in a J1 League fixture on 6 June 2026. The market resolves on the exact final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty outcomes. The current order book on Polymarket implies an 11% probability for a specific scoreline occurring, reflecting the inherent difficulty of predicting exact match results in professional football where draws and varied goal distributions are commonplace.
Exact-score markets in football typically show low probabilities for any single outcome because the combinatorial space of possible results is large. Historical data from J1 League seasons demonstrates that the most frequent exact scores—such as 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1—each occur in roughly 8–12% of matches. The 11% implied probability here suggests traders are pricing in either a moderately likely scoreline or distributing confidence across multiple outcomes listed on the book. Both clubs' recent form, goal-scoring patterns, and defensive records will determine whether this probability represents fair value or mispricing relative to their underlying match dynamics.
Traders should monitor team news and squad availability in the weeks preceding the fixture, as injuries to key forwards or defensive personnel can materially shift expected goal distributions. Fixture congestion in the J1 100 Year Vision League schedule and any weather forecasts closer to match day may also influence tactical approaches. The settlement window closes immediately after final whistle, so real-time score confirmation from official J1 League sources will be the determining factor.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: