Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Serie B game, scheduled for Friday, May 22, 2026 between FC Südtirol and SSC Bari.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Südtirol | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| Draw (FC Südtirol vs. SSC Bari) | 33% YES | 67% NO |
| SSC Bari | 34% YES | 66% NO |
FC Südtirol and SSC Bari will meet in a Serie B fixture on Friday, 22 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Südtirol victory at 41% implied probability, reflecting modest confidence in the home side despite their league position and recent form. This probability has been formed through active trading across the book's depth, with the spread between bid and ask orders indicating moderate liquidity for the match outcome.
Südtirol finished the 2024–25 season in mid-table, whilst Bari has typically competed in the upper half of Serie B in recent campaigns. Historical matchups between these sides show competitive encounters with mixed results, making neither team a clear favourite. The current 41% probability suggests traders view Bari as slight favourites, though the gap is narrow enough to reflect genuine uncertainty about the fixture outcome.
Key catalysts ahead of the settlement window include team news on injuries or suspensions, which Serie B clubs typically announce in the week preceding matches. Weather conditions in South Tyrol in late May could favour either side's tactical approach. Any late-season shifts in league standings or playoff implications may also influence squad selection and intensity. Traders should monitor official Serie B communications and club statements for lineup confirmations, which typically emerge 24–48 hours before kickoff.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.legaserieb.it/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Südtirol vs. SSC Bari" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.legaserieb.it/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 22 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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