Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Indian Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between Inter Kashi FC and North East United FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Inter Kashi FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Inter Kashi FC vs. North East United FC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| North East United FC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Inter Kashi FC will face North East United FC in an Indian Super League fixture on Saturday, 2 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, indicating traders are pricing this event with extreme certainty toward the NO side. Such extreme probabilities in sports markets typically emerge when there is either significant information asymmetry, illiquidity in the order book, or a structural mismatch between the market's framing and trader expectations.
The Indian Super League has experienced considerable volatility in team performance and fixture scheduling over recent seasons. North East United FC has historically been a mid-table competitor with inconsistent results, whilst Inter Kashi FC represents a newer franchise entry into the league. When newly formed clubs enter established leagues, prediction markets often struggle with calibration due to limited historical data and uncertain squad composition. The 0% probability suggests either that traders have concrete information about fixture cancellation, team withdrawal, or a specific outcome already determined—scenarios that would warrant verification against official ISL communications.
Traders should monitor official Indian Super League announcements regarding fixture confirmation, team roster changes, and any administrative decisions affecting the 2 May match. Recent squad announcements, injury updates, and weather conditions in the scheduled venue will influence market movement closer to the settlement window. Liquidity constraints on Polymarket's order book for this specific match may also explain the extreme probability; wider spreads and lower trading volume can produce prices that diverge significantly from fundamental expectations.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.indiansuperleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Inter Kashi FC vs. North East United FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$207 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.indiansuperleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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