Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between Stade Rennais FC 1901 and Paris FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 55% YES | 46% NO |
| Draw (Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Paris FC | 17% YES | 84% NO |
Stade Rennais will host Paris FC in a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday, 10 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 63% implied probability for a Rennais victory or draw, with traders pricing the home side as favourites in what remains an open matchup between two mid-table competitors in the French top flight.
Rennais have historically held a modest edge in direct encounters with Paris FC, though recent seasons show increasing competitiveness from the visitors. The 63% probability sits between a clear home advantage and genuine uncertainty—typical for Ligue 1 matches where form, injury status, and fixture congestion often prove decisive. Comparable fixtures between established Ligue 1 sides and rising challengers typically settle in the 55–70% range for the home team, depending on squad depth and recent results.
Key variables for traders include team news in the weeks preceding the match, particularly injuries to key players at either club, and final-day league positioning that may affect motivation. Rennais' European commitments earlier in the season could influence squad rotation and fatigue levels by May. Paris FC's trajectory through spring will also matter; a strong run of form could narrow the gap reflected in current odds. Weather conditions and pitch state at Roazhon Park on match day remain minor factors. Settlement occurs immediately after full-time, with the market resolving YES if Rennais wins or draws, NO if Paris FC wins outright.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue1.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2.3M in lifetime turnover and $139K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2.3M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue1.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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