Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming EFL Championship game between Southampton FC and Middlesbrough FC, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC match originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 4% YES | 97% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
Southampton and Middlesbrough will meet on 12 May 2026 in an EFL Championship fixture. The market prices a specific final score at 9% implied probability, with the current order book reflecting modest confidence in any single scoreline outcome. Exact score markets typically distribute probability across numerous possible results, meaning even favoured outcomes rarely exceed 15–20% individually. The 9% reading suggests the market views this particular result as moderately unlikely relative to alternatives, though without knowing which exact score is priced, traders should examine the full order book depth to understand whether this reflects genuine uncertainty or sparse liquidity in a particular outcome.
Historical Championship fixtures between these sides and comparable May-scheduled matches provide context. Late-season Championship games often feature tactical caution, with teams managing injury concerns and fixture congestion. Middlesbrough and Southampton have typically produced moderate-scoring encounters; reviewing their recent head-to-head records and current-season goal-scoring patterns will clarify whether the market's probability aligns with their typical output profiles.
Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury announcements affecting key forwards or defensive players. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the Championship season may affect squad rotation decisions. Weather conditions on match day and any late managerial changes could shift tactical approaches. The settlement window closes at 19:00 GMT on 12 May, allowing only post-match confirmation; traders should verify whether either club has fixture rescheduling risks that might delay final settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efl.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$15 in lifetime turnover and $30K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $15 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efl.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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