Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game between Pharco FC and Modern SC, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Pharco FC | 22% YES | 79% NO |
| Modern SC | 28% YES | 72% NO |
Pharco FC will host Modern SC in the Egyptian Premier League on 12 May 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for the home side's halftime advantage, suggesting traders view this matchup as genuinely competitive at the interval stage.
Halftime markets in Egyptian Premier League fixtures typically exhibit wider probability spreads than full-match outcomes, given the compressed sample size and reduced predictability of early-game momentum. Historical data from comparable domestic leagues shows that home-side halftime advantages rarely exceed 55–60% implied probability unless one team possesses a pronounced attacking superiority or the away side carries significant injury concerns. The 50% reading here indicates the market perceives Pharco and Modern as evenly matched in early-game execution, with neither side favoured to establish control before the break.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official squad announcements through to kickoff, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. Modern SC's recent form and any tactical adjustments under their current management structure will influence first-half tempo and pressing intensity. Fixture congestion in the Egyptian calendar—with potential midweek commitments affecting squad rotation—may also shift the balance if either side fields a weakened starting eleven. The settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC on match day, allowing traders roughly four hours post-kickoff to adjust positions based on live halftime data.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Pharco FC vs. Modern SC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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