Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Liquid and ex-HEROIC in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 16 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against ex-HEROIC. This market will resolve to "ex-HEROIC" if ex-HEROIC win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
Sports outcome markets settle within hours of game-end via the UMA optimistic oracle, with the YES/NO line refreshing in real time on every meaningful in-game event. Odds will populate live once the order book fills resolving today, backed by $5K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 68.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Team Liquid are due to face ex-HEROIC in a best-of-three DreamLeague Group A series, and the market is effectively pricing in a Liquid win. A 100% YES reading leaves almost no room for disagreement in the order book, so the implied probability on Polymarket is being set by the thin tail of residual asks rather than any meaningful two-sided view. In practical terms, traders should read that as a strong consensus rather than literal certainty, especially in an esports market where schedule changes, forfeits and administrative outcomes can still matter more than pre-match form.
The comparison set also points towards Liquid: they are ranked at or near the top of the Dota 2 scene in current listings, while ex-HEROIC are well down the standings and entered the series as the clear underdog in recent match pages from GosuGamers and Sofascore. Recent results pages from DLTV and EGamersWorld show Liquid taking the series 2-0, which is consistent with the market’s current stance. The main catalysts to watch are official tournament updates from DreamLeague and match-status feeds from trackers such as Flashscore or Sofascore, because any delay, replay, or no-contest ruling could affect settlement more than the pre-match odds themselves.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2ember. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 16 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Disputed resolutions are rare — fewer than 0.5% of PolyGram markets in 2026 to date — and even rarer for events with clear, verifiable resolution sources.
Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. From there, withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Your slippage tolerance and the depth of resting limit orders determine the actual fill.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
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The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$329K in lifetime turnover and $5K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $329K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2ember. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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