Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Czechia Fortuna Liga game between FC Hradec Králové and FC Slovan Liberec, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| FC Slovan Liberec | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| FC Hradec Králové | 30% YES | 70% NO |
FC Hradec Králové will host FC Slovan Liberec in a Czechia Fortuna Liga fixture on 13 May 2026, with the halftime result market settling on outcomes during the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 44% implied probability for a home halftime result, suggesting the market perceives roughly even odds between a Hradec victory in the first half and either a draw or away advantage by the interval.
Halftime markets in Czech top-flight football typically exhibit volatility based on team form and recent scoring patterns. Hradec Králové's home record and early-game aggression relative to Liberec's defensive setup will be material. Historical data from comparable Fortuna Liga fixtures shows that halftime results correlate moderately with final outcomes, though first-half tactical approaches—particularly pressing intensity and set-piece vulnerability—can diverge significantly from second-half patterns. Teams trailing at the break often adjust formation, whilst leaders may consolidate.
Traders should monitor team news releases in the week preceding the match, particularly injury confirmations or lineup changes that affect midfield control or defensive solidity. Weather conditions on match day, including wind and pitch state, can influence early-game play. Liberec's recent fixture congestion and travel logistics may influence their pressing intensity in the opening period. The settlement window closes at 15:30 UTC on match day, allowing only post-match confirmation; no live trading adjustments occur after the 11:30 ET kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Hradec Králové vs. FC Slovan Liberec - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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