Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast scheduled for 2026-05-28 in T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Sierra Leone will be considered correct if Sierra Leone is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Ivory Coast will be considered correct if Ivory Coast is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| SLE10 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| IVO3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast will contest a T20 World Cup Sub Regional Africa Qualifier match on 28 May 2026, with this market requiring both a toss win and match victory for either nation to settle YES. The 0% implied probability reflects the order book's current assessment that neither outcome commands sufficient backing to establish meaningful odds, a common pattern for lower-profile cricket fixtures in emerging markets where liquidity concentrates on higher-tier tournaments.
Comparable T20 qualifying matches show that combined toss-and-match outcomes typically settle at probabilities between 20–35% for competitive teams, since toss outcomes are genuinely random whilst match results depend on squad strength and preparation. Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast occupy different development tiers within African cricket, with neither nation holding extensive recent T20I history that would anchor confident probability estimates. The absence of trading activity here likely reflects limited market awareness rather than certainty about outcomes.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmations from the International Cricket Council and squad announcements as the May 2026 window approaches. Pitch reports from the host venue, weather forecasts within 48 hours of play, and any late team changes will inform both toss dynamics and match conditions. Recent form data from qualifying rounds will become available closer to the settlement window, potentially triggering initial order book activity. The settlement deadline of 5 June 2026 allows three days post-match for official results publication via ESPNcricinfo.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Sierra Leone vs Ivory Coast - Toss Match Double" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$359 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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