Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the cricket match between Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast scheduled for May 29 2026 in T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Sierra Leone vs Ivory Coast | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Sierra Leone vs Ivory Coast - Who wins the toss? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Sierra Leone vs Ivory Coast - Completed match? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast will contest a T20 World Cup Sub Regional Africa Qualifier match on 29 May 2026, with the winner advancing through the tournament structure. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for a decisive result, indicating traders are pricing near-certainty that the match will produce a winner rather than end in a tie or be abandoned. This extreme probability suggests either strong confidence in standard playing conditions or minimal perceived risk of weather disruption and non-completion at the scheduled venue.
Historical context for African cricket qualifiers shows that matches in this tier typically proceed to completion, with forfeits and walkovers remaining rare despite occasional logistical challenges. The ICC's qualification framework has improved fixture reliability over recent cycles, though weather remains a variable in West African venues during late May. Comparable regional qualifier matches have settled decisively in over 95% of cases, which partially explains the current market positioning, though the 100% reading suggests traders may be overweighting the baseline completion rate.
Key catalysts for traders include confirmation of venue conditions closer to the match date, any squad announcements that might affect team readiness, and weather forecasts for the region in late May. The ICC typically publishes final match schedules and venue details 4–6 weeks prior to tournaments. Any indication of ground unavailability, player availability issues, or severe weather warnings could shift the probability materially, though such developments remain speculative at present. Settlement will follow ESPN Cricinfo's official match result, with DLS adjustments and Super Over outcomes treated as ordinary wins.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Sierra Leone vs Ivory Coast" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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