Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Scotland and Bangladesh scheduled for 2026-05-30 in T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Scotland will be considered correct if Scotland is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Bangladesh.The outcome corresponding to Bangladesh will be considered correct if Bangladesh is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Scotland. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| SCO5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| BGD3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Scotland and Bangladesh will contest a T20 women's cricket match on 30 May 2026 as part of the Scotland Tri-Series. The market asks which team will strike more sixes during the encounter, with settlement based on ESPN Cricinfo's final match statistics. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for the YES outcome, indicating traders are pricing Scotland as the heavy favourite to out-hit Bangladesh in boundary maximisation.
Women's T20 cricket has seen considerable variation in six-hitting rates depending on pitch conditions, bowling attack composition, and team batting depth. Scotland's domestic T20 infrastructure has developed markedly over recent years, though Bangladesh women remain a more established international outfit with consistent tournament exposure. Historical tri-series formats typically favour teams with stronger middle-order batting and aggressive intent; Bangladesh's recent performances in ICC events show they maintain competitive six-hitting capability, particularly through their top-order batters. The current probability assessment may reflect confidence in Scotland's home advantage and recent form, though the extreme pricing warrants scrutiny against Bangladesh's demonstrated capacity in similar fixtures.
Key variables for traders include confirmed squad announcements, pitch reports from the venue in the days preceding the match, and any late-breaking injuries to key batters. Weather conditions on match day will influence both team strategy and boundary-hitting frequency. Recent bilateral series between these nations and their performances in the preceding tri-series matches will provide concrete data on relative batting aggression and bowling control, potentially shifting the current consensus before settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$30 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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