Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between China and Nepal scheduled for 2026-05-26 in T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to China will be considered correct if China is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Nepal.The outcome corresponding to Nepal will be considered correct if Nepal is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than China. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CHN | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| NPL3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
China and Nepal will face each other in the women's T20 cricket qualifier for the 2026 Asian Games on 26 May 2026. The market settles on which team hits more sixes during the match, with resolution based on ESPN Cricinfo's final statistics. The 0% implied probability on the YES side (China hitting more sixes) reflects the current order book on Polymarket, where no traders are pricing in this outcome at any meaningful level.
Women's T20 cricket between South and East Asian teams typically produces modest six-hitting rates, particularly in qualifier matches where batting aggression is often tempered by unfamiliar opposition and variable pitch conditions. Nepal's women's cricket programme has developed considerably over the past five years, though China remains relatively inexperienced at international level. Historical T20 qualifiers involving these regions show six counts frequently clustering between 4–8 per innings, with outcomes heavily dependent on pitch behaviour and the specific match situation rather than pre-match rankings alone.
Key variables for traders include the venue and pitch report closer to match day, which will emerge in late May 2026. Weather conditions in the Asian Games host nation will affect ball behaviour and boundary dimensions. Team composition announcements and any recent warm-up matches involving either squad will provide concrete data on current batting intent and form. The settlement window closes 3 June 2026, allowing two days post-match for ESPN Cricinfo to publish verified statistics.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: China vs Nepal - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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