Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between 1st Place and 2nd Place scheduled for 2026-04-28 in Pakistan Super League. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to 1st Place will be considered correct if 1st Place is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than 2nd Place.The outcome corresponding to 2nd Place will be considered correct if 2nd Place is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than 1st Place. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| 1ST | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| 2ND | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Pakistan Super League final scheduled for 28 April 2026 will pit the tournament's top-ranked team against the second-placed side in what traditionally serves as the competition's climactic match. This market isolates a specific statistical outcome: which team will strike more sixes during the encounter. The 0% implied probability currently reflected in Polymarket's order book suggests minimal trading activity or a consensus view that the market lacks sufficient liquidity to establish meaningful pricing at present. As the match date approaches and teams confirm their final squads, order book depth should increase, allowing traders to calibrate probabilities based on team composition and recent form.
Historical PSL finals have typically featured aggressive batting from both sides, though outcomes vary considerably depending on pitch conditions, dew factors, and team strategy. The 2024 final saw relatively balanced six-hitting between finalists, whilst earlier editions showed marked disparities based on opening partnerships and middle-order composition. Teams finishing first and second often employ similar tactical approaches in knockout cricket, making six-count differentials frequently marginal.
Key catalysts include official squad announcements, which typically occur 48 hours before the match, and venue-specific intelligence regarding ground dimensions and recent pitch behaviour at the scheduled location. Weather forecasts closer to 28 April will influence team selection and batting aggression levels. Recent PSL performance data, particularly six-hitting rates during the league phase, will provide traders with baseline expectations for each finalist's approach.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Pakistan Super League: 1st Place vs 2nd Place - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$438 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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