Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the cricket match between Royal Challengers Bangalore and Mumbai Indians scheduled for May 10 2026 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians - Completed match? | 99% YES | 1% NO |
Royal Challengers Bangalore will face Mumbai Indians on 10 May 2026 in the Indian Premier League. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Royal Challengers victory at 68% implied probability, reflecting market participants' assessment of the matchup ahead of the fixture. This probability has formed through trading activity across the platform's liquidity pool, with the YES side commanding a notable premium over the alternative.
Historically, head-to-head records between these franchises show competitive balance, though Mumbai Indians hold a marginal edge in overall IPL encounters. Royal Challengers have demonstrated inconsistent tournament performance across seasons, whilst Mumbai Indians have secured five IPL titles. Recent form entering the 2026 season will prove material to the probability's accuracy; teams' compositions, injury status, and performance in preceding matches typically shift implied odds by 5–15 percentage points in the weeks before fixture day. The 68% reading suggests the market currently favours Bangalore, though this reflects pre-tournament positioning rather than confirmed squad information.
Traders should monitor official IPL announcements regarding team composition, player availability, and any last-minute roster changes. Venue conditions at the scheduled ground—pitch characteristics and weather forecasts closer to 10 May—historically influence run-scoring patterns and bowling effectiveness. Recent form data from both sides' prior matches in the tournament will likely trigger repricing. The settlement window closes on 17 May, allowing two days post-match for ESPN Cricinfo's official result publication and any potential review processes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$644K in lifetime turnover and $389K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $643K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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