Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Qingdao Xihaian FC | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Qingdao Xihaian FC will host Zhejiang Zhiye FC in the Chinese Super League on 28 June 2026, with the halftime result market settling on outcomes during the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for the home team's halftime advantage, suggesting near-parity between backing Qingdao and the combined draw-or-away outcomes.
Chinese Super League halftime markets typically exhibit volatility driven by team setup patterns and early-season form. Historical precedent shows that home sides in the CSL convert their advantage into halftime leads roughly 45–52% of the time depending on fixture congestion and squad rotation. Qingdao's home record and Zhejiang's away performance in comparable fixtures provide the baseline against which current pricing should be evaluated. The 49% mark sits within the expected range for a fixture between mid-table or similarly-ranked opponents, though recent league standings and injury reports will sharpen that assessment.
Traders should monitor official team sheets released 24 hours before kickoff, as late withdrawals or tactical shifts can reshape early-match dynamics. Fixture scheduling density in late June often influences pressing intensity and defensive shape during the opening period. Weather conditions at the Qingdao venue—temperature and humidity in late June—may affect pace of play. Any pre-match commentary from either manager regarding tactical approach or squad availability could shift the order book materially before settlement window closure on 28 June at 10:00 UTC.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $440 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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